Treasury Survival Strategy di Tengah Ketidakpastian Pasar
Treasury Survival Strategy di Tengah Ketidakpastian Pasar
Description
Ketidakpastian ekonomi global yang dipicu oleh inflasi tinggi, geopolitik, volatilitas suku bunga, fluktuasi nilai tukar, krisis likuiditas, hingga perlambatan ekonomi dunia memberikan tekanan besar terhadap pengelolaan treasury di industri perbankan. Kondisi ini menuntut fungsi treasury untuk tidak hanya fokus pada profitabilitas, tetapi juga memperkuat resilience, menjaga likuiditas, mengelola risiko pasar, dan memastikan stabilitas keuangan bank dalam berbagai skenario krisis.
Perubahan kondisi pasar yang sangat cepat juga meningkatkan risiko mismatch likuiditas, penurunan kualitas aset, tekanan funding, serta potensi kerugian pada portofolio treasury. Oleh karena itu, diperlukan strategi treasury resilience yang adaptif, berbasis risk management, dan selaras dengan prinsip prudential banking serta regulatory expectation.
Pelatihan ini dirancang untuk membantu peserta memahami strategi membangun ketahanan treasury bank dalam menghadapi ketidakpastian ekonomi global, termasuk pengelolaan likuiditas, market risk, stress testing, contingency funding plan, serta pengambilan keputusan treasury yang agile dan resilient.
Objectives
Setelah mengikuti pelatihan ini, peserta diharapkan mampu:
- Memahami dampak ketidakpastian ekonomi global terhadap fungsi treasury bank.
- Mengidentifikasi risiko utama pada aktivitas treasury dan market exposure.
- Menyusun strategi treasury resilience dalam kondisi volatilitas tinggi.
- Mengelola likuiditas dan funding secara efektif pada situasi krisis.
- Memahami teknik stress testing dan scenario analysis treasury.
- Mengembangkan contingency funding plan dan crisis response treasury.
- Memastikan kepatuhan terhadap regulatory liquidity requirement.
- Meningkatkan kemampuan pengambilan keputusan treasury berbasis risk awareness.
Course outline
1. Global Economic Uncertainty & Treasury Impact
- Tren ekonomi global dan financial market outlook
- Dampak inflasi, suku bunga, dan geopolitik terhadap treasury
- Volatilitas nilai tukar dan pasar obligasi
- Liquidity pressure pada sektor perbankan
- Risk transmission dalam sistem keuangan
- Treasury resilience concept
2. Treasury Risk Landscape
- Market risk dalam treasury activity
- Interest rate risk & repricing risk
- Foreign exchange risk
- Liquidity risk dan funding risk
- Counterparty risk
- Contagion risk & systemic risk
3. Liquidity Management Strategy
- Liquidity buffer management
- Cash flow projection & monitoring
- Funding diversification strategy
- Deposit stability management
- Intraday liquidity management
- High Quality Liquid Assets (HQLA)
4. Asset Liability Management (ALM)
- ALM framework dan governance
- Gap analysis & duration management
- Interest rate sensitivity analysis
- Balance sheet resilience
- Pricing strategy during uncertainty
- ALCO decision-making framework
5. Stress Testing & Scenario Analysis
- Treasury stress testing methodology
- Reverse stress testing
- Scenario analysis untuk market shock
- Liquidity stress simulation
- Crisis forecasting & early warning indicator
- Management action trigger
6. Contingency Funding Plan & Crisis Response
- Penyusunan contingency funding plan (CFP)
- Emergency liquidity strategy
- Funding source prioritization
- Crisis escalation & governance
- Coordination dengan regulator dan stakeholder
- Recovery & stabilization strategy
7. Investment & Portfolio Resilience
- Treasury portfolio optimization
- Risk-adjusted return strategy
- Defensive investment positioning
- Sovereign & credit exposure management
- Hedging strategy during volatility
- Capital preservation approach
8. Regulatory Compliance & Governance
- Regulatory liquidity ratio (LCR, NSFR)
- Prudential banking principles
- Treasury governance & control
- Risk appetite framework
- Treasury limit management
- Internal audit & compliance oversight
9. Technology & Data-Driven Treasury
- Treasury analytics & dashboard
- Real-time liquidity monitoring
- AI & predictive analytics untuk treasury
- Automation treasury process
- Data governance dalam treasury
- Digital treasury transformation
10. Case Study & Workshop
- Studi kasus krisis likuiditas global
- Simulasi treasury stress scenario
- Workshop contingency funding plan
- Analisis dampak suku bunga dan FX volatility
- Penyusunan treasury resilience roadmap
- Lessons learned dari financial crisis global
Participants
- Treasury
- Treasury & Investment
- Treasury Management
- Treasury Operations
- Financial Markets
- Market Risk Management
- Liquidity Risk Management
- Interest Rate Risk Management
- Foreign Exchange Risk Management
- Asset Liability Management (ALM)
- Asset and Liability Committee (ALCO)
- Investment Management
- Portfolio Management
- Capital Market
- Fixed Income
- Money Market
- Derivatives
- Hedging Strategy
- Stress Testing
- Scenario Analysis
- Enterprise Risk Management
- Manajemen Risiko
- Business Continuity Management
- Strategic Planning
- Economic Research
- Data Analytics
- Business Intelligence
- Compliance
- Governance, Risk & Compliance (GRC)
- Regulatory Compliance
- Internal Audit
- Direksi
Method
- Pre-test
- Presentation
- Discussion
- Case study
- Post-test
Facilities
- Ruang Meeting Representatif
- Sertifikat Pelatihan Resmi
- Instruktur Profesional & Berpengalaman
- Training Kit Eksklusif
- Souvenir
- Pick Up Participant (Yogyakarta)
